Solar flare forecasting model supported with artificial neural network techniques

Nowadays operational models for solar activity forecasting are still based on the statistical relationship between solar activity and solar magnetic field evolution. In order to set up this relationship, many parameters have been proposed to be the measures. Conventional measures are based on the sunspot group classification which provides limited information from sunspots. For this reason, new measures based on solar magnetic field observations are proposed and a solar flare forecasting model supported with an artificial neural network is introduced. This model is equivalent to a person with a long period of solar flare forecasting experience.     

带制退器复杂流场并行算法研究

基于集群系统(CLUSTER),在Linux和MPI并行环境下,研究了带制退器的复杂膛口流场三维数值模拟并行算法。计算网格是三维多区结构化网格,数值格式采用Jameson格式及LU隐式分解方法。针对流场的复杂拓扑结构,建立分区信息文件记录各分区的相关信息,并提出了通过合并相邻网格分区的方法均衡各个进程的负载,提高程序的并行效率。在处理需要通讯的信息时,设计了自定义数据类型和"设置中间参数"相结合的方法,并通过动态分配内存减少了程序对计算机系统资源的占用。数值实验表明,本文设计的算法可以适应拓扑结构较复杂的流场,并能取得理想的并行效率,将有助于制退器性能的研究。     

光纤综合特性测试仪测量不确定度评定

根据计量工作中测量不确定度评定的实践经验，对光纤综合特性测试仪在计量时的测量不确定度进行了分析、评定。     

风场中基于神经网络的炸弹弹道落点拟合分析

介绍了两种炸弹弹道落点拟合神经网络模型,对各模型的优缺点以及处理结果进行了分析。提出了采用广义回归神经网络来处理炸弹弹道落点拟合问题,弹道的落点参数、初始投放条件与风场可通过神经网络的阈值和权值来表现。仿真结果表明,应用广义回归神经网络进行弹道落点拟合,具有算法可行性好、拟合精度高、速度快等优点,而且运算简单;该方法在实战中有很高的参考价值和工程实用价值。     

Physical mechanism of the vertical electric field generation over active tectonic faults

The concept of the Global Electric Circuit (GEC) provides an explanation of the existence of a vertical atmospheric electric field and coupling between the ground and ionosphere. Presently, ionospheric physics pays more attention to electric fields and coupling processes in the polar and auroral regions, whereas in other areas the potential difference between the ground and ionosphere usually is not taken into account. Regional processes exist, however, that are able to significantly affect the GEC parameters and through modification of the ionospheric potential to create plasma density irregularities of different scales within the ionosphere. One such source of ionosphere modification is air ionization in the vicinity of active tectonic faults, which takes place due to increased radon emanation. This paper considers the process of local modification of the GEC and corresponding ionospheric variability due to tectonic activity.     

飞机结构下陷疲劳分析

以JL8飞机为例，运用新的理论，分析了飞机结构下陷的疲劳寿命，以及影响下陷寿命的关键因素，从而找到了一条提高飞机结构下陷寿命的途径。     

Energy conversion of the flare due to direct electric fields from the sheared reconnection

In this paper we present a new mechanism of the main energy conversion of the solar flare. Since a flare inducing prominence (flux tube) rises V_z ? 300 km s⁻¹, the plasmas below it cannot continuously eject with Alfvén speeds of V_A = 3000 km s⁻¹ but probably with V_z ≈ ±100 km s⁻¹. Plasma up and downflows with V_A will within a short duration be blocked between the chromosphere where reconnected flux tubes are piling up, and the slowly rising flux rope. Hence the Petschek slow shock mechanism is difficult to be realized as a major energy converting mechanism.     

气膜孔内局部堵塞对气膜冷却特性的影响

在吹风比为0.3~1.5,堵塞比为0.1~0.5范围内,对平板上单排倾斜气膜孔内局部堵塞所引起的冷气射流流动和冷却特性变化进行了数值研究,分析了堵塞比、堵塞位置和吹风比对绝热气膜冷却效率的影响.在研究参数范围内的研究结果表明:气膜孔出口端前缘的局部堵塞有利于抑制肾形涡,对气膜孔下游的绝热气膜冷却效率有改善作用,并且随着堵塞比和吹风比的增加,对冷却效果的改善越为明显.而在气膜孔出口端尾缘或侧边的堵塞则在较大的堵塞比下削弱气膜冷却效果.相对于气膜孔出气端的局部堵塞,在气膜孔进气端和中部的堵塞对绝热气膜冷却效率的影响要微弱得多.     

旋流对旋转受限层板换热的影响

应用数值模拟的方法,模拟了旋转受限层板内旋流对层板换热的影响.研究表明:在冲击受限层板内,由于侧壁面会产生对称的旋流,对哥氏力产生的二次流具有抑制作用,有利于旋转受限层板换热;旋转导致的离心力和哥氏力显著地影响旋流的作用,旋流的作用区域随着转速的增加而减小.合理设计旋转受限层板的长度可以增加旋转受限层板的换热.     

钝体改进结构对先进旋涡燃烧室燃烧流动特性影响

为探究先进旋涡燃烧室凹腔稳焰机制,提出了一种后钝体结构改进方案,并对改进后的燃烧室燃烧特性进行了预混和非预混燃烧数值模拟.结果表明:预混燃烧条件下,当量比为0.6和1.0时,钝体改进结构可有效增强凹腔内旋涡流动强度,增加凹腔内温度,同时使温度分布更加均匀.另外,凹腔内温度随预混进气速度增加而增加,且当速度增大到一定值时,温度变化不明显;非预混燃烧条件下,钝体改进结构可改善凹腔内旋涡流动及温度分布,在贫油燃烧状态时,凹腔内仍可维持较高的温度;钝体改进使燃烧室质量更小,具有一定的工程参考意义.